{"id":4871,"date":"2023-10-18T08:41:20","date_gmt":"2023-10-18T08:41:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/luan.webrt.net\/imsjsc\/?p=4871"},"modified":"2023-10-18T08:41:20","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T08:41:20","slug":"the-kho-cua-trung-quoc-voi-chien-luoc-kinh-te-huong-noi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ims.vinastar.info\/?p=4871","title":{"rendered":"Th\u1ebf Kh\u00f3 C\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c V\u1edbi Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c Kinh T\u1ebf H\u01b0\u1edbng N\u1ed9i"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hai th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cl\u01b0u th\u00f4ng k\u00e9p\u201d \u2013 d\u1ef1a nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u01b0ng v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

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Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh cho bi\u1ebft n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. Quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n cho r\u1eb1ng, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y c\u1ea7n \u0111i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 do h\u00f3a kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u2013 kinh t\u1ebf v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n h\u1ea1 th\u1ea5p c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u01afu ti\u00ean l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ngu\u1ed3n cung, nh\u1eb1m t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 m\u1edf c\u1eeda \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 cao h\u01a1n\u201d, Peng Wensheng \u2013 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a China International Capital Corporation cho bi\u1ebft. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n, v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9, chuy\u00ean gia n\u00e0y cho r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea7n b\u00e3i b\u1ecf c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2m c\u1ea1nh tranh b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng.<\/p>\n

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M\u1ed9t c\u1ea3ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Thanh \u0110\u1ea3o, Trung Qu\u1ed1c.\u00a0\u1ea2nh: AP<\/em><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Wang Yiming, c\u1ef1u Ph\u00f3 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 cho r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea7n n\u00e2ng cao hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t tr\u00ean s\u00e2n nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh b\u1ecb c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 M\u1ef9, k\u00ecm h\u00e3m v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

\u201cM\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu c\u1ea1nh tranh tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111ai, c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh cho c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n\u201d, \u00f4ng vi\u1ebft trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch 5 n\u0103m l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 14 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u0103m sau.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Wang cho r\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea7n kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 li\u00ean quan nh\u01b0 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd h\u1ed9 kh\u1ea9u (hukou) \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1eadp c\u01b0, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00f3a nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u00f4ng th\u00f4n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t \u1edf. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi nh\u1eadp c\u01b0 gi\u1eef h\u1ed9 kh\u1ea9u \u1edf n\u01a1i sinh ra s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t \u00edt quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 c\u00f4ng \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i h\u1ecd chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 IPO s\u1ebd gi\u00fap c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty kh\u1edfi nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 h\u00e3ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u201ctr\u1edf v\u1ec1\u201d t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft b\u1edfi theo k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch 5 n\u0103m t\u1edbi, Trung Qu\u1ed1c h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1edbn, Internet v\u1ea1n v\u1eadt, tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u1ef1u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1edfng Tr\u00f9ng Kh\u00e1nh Huang Qifan n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u00ean t\u0103ng m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba cho b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, \u0111\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u1edf l\u1ea1i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro r\u1eddi \u0111i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng. Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u00ean c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u trung b\u00ecnh xu\u1ed1ng 5% t\u1eeb 7,5% trong v\u00f2ng 3-5 n\u0103m t\u1edbi v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c khu th\u00ed \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng trung t\u00e2m s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea1nh tranh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

B\u1eafc Kinh c\u0169ng n\u00ean t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf To\u00e0n di\u1ec7n Khu v\u1ef1c (RCEP) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Anh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n gia nh\u1eadp Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c To\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0 Ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 xuy\u00ean Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng (CPTPP).<\/p>\n

\u201cC\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd gi\u00fap ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi thu h\u00fat c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n t\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c\u201d, \u00f4ng Huang ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn v\u1ec1 t\u1ef1 do h\u00f3a v\u00e0 m\u1edf c\u1eeda n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c B\u1eafc Kinh ban h\u00e0nh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4\/2020. Trong \u0111\u00f3, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh cam k\u1ebft \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch m\u1edf c\u1eeda v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i. D\u00f9 v\u1eady, nh\u1eefng nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai n\u1ed9i dung n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ng\u00e0y m\u1ed9t t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

\u201cB\u1eafc Kinh l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd v\u1eabn cam k\u1ebft c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch v\u00e0 m\u1edf c\u1eeda h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft. Nh\u01b0ng b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a n\u1eeda th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua cho th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u201cDaniel Rosen, Chuy\u00ean gia t\u1ea1i Rhodium Group, nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t, \u201cVi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i, t\u1eeb d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n theo c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quay v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ef1 t\u00fac v\u00e0 do ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u bu\u1ed9c M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i ngh\u0129 l\u1ea1i\u201d.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft, vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1a ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i. Theo C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Qu\u1ed1c gia Trung Qu\u1ed1c (NBS), doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 11,4% n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 17.200 t\u1ef7 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 (2.400 t\u1ef7 USD) v\u00ec c\u00fa s\u1ed1c Covid-19.<\/p>\n

Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n gi\u1ea3m 5,9%, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 9.718 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 (1.392 USD) m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a, t\u1ed5ng chi ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 13.600 t\u1ef7 USD trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, chi\u1ebfm ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea7y 30% GDP.<\/p>\n

Fu Peng \u2013 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Northwest Securities, cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ee9c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. \u201cNg\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, v\u00ec h\u1ecd \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0 thu nh\u1eadp hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn\u201d, \u00f4ng k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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